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From freem


This conversation was exported from ChatGPT[1]

gpt-5-1-thinking[edit | edit source]

User: What the tracking of mean price of whole chicken over past 10 years in US?[edit | edit source]

What the tracking of mean price of whole chicken over past 10 years in US?

Assistant: Here’s the rough national average retail price of a whole fresh chicken per lb in the U.S.[edit | edit source]

Here’s the rough national average retail price of a whole fresh chicken (per lb) in the U.S. over the last 10 years, based on BLS “Chicken, fresh, whole, per lb. (453.6 gm), U.S. city average” (series APU0000706111). FRED[2]

Average price per pound, last 10 years (nominal dollars)[edit | edit source]

| Year | Avg. price ($/lb) | | ----- | ----------------- | | 2016 | $1.46 | | 2017 | $1.47 | | 2018 | $1.50 | | 2019 | $1.50 | | 2020 | $1.56 | | 2021 | $1.53 | | 2022 | $1.80 | | 2023 | $1.91 | | 2024 | $2.00 | | 2025* | $2.08 |

  • 2025 is the latest available annual value (through about Sept 2025) and lines up with the monthly BLS data showing around $2.06/lb in September 2025. FRED[3]
What the “tracking” looks like[edit | edit source]
  • From 2016–2019, prices were very stable, hovering around $1.46–$1.50/lb. In 2013 Dollars[4]
  • 2020–2021: small uptick to the mid-$1.50s, then a dip in 2021 to about $1.53. In 2013 Dollars[5]
  • Big jump in 2022: prices climbed to about $1.80/lb, reflecting broader food inflation (feed costs, supply chain issues, etc.). In 2013 Dollars[6]
  • 2023–2025: continued to rise but more slowly, reaching roughly $2.00 in 2024 and about $2.08 in 2025. In 2013 Dollars[7]

Over the decade, the average price went from about $1.46 (2016) to about $2.08 (2025) — roughly a 40% nominal increase over 10 years.

If you’d like, next step I can:

  • Adjust these for inflation to show “real” price changes, or
  • Estimate per-bird cost using a typical 4 lb whole chicken.

gpt-5-1[edit | edit source]

User: How about ground beef[edit | edit source]

How about ground beef

Assistant: Here’s a tracking of the average U.S.[edit | edit source]

Here’s a tracking of the average U.S. retail price for “ground beef, 100% beef” over the past ~10 years, based on data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (via Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis / FRED). FRED[8]

💵 U.S. Average Ground Beef Price (per pound) — recent decade[edit | edit source]

| Year | Approx. Avg. Price ($/lb) | | ----- | --------------------------------------- | | 2016 | ≈ $4.25 In 2013 Dollars +1 | | 2017 | ≈ $4.12 In 2013 Dollars | | 2018 | ≈ $4.12 In 2013 Dollars | | 2019 | ≈ $4.23 In 2013 Dollars | | 2020 | ≈ $4.63 In 2013 Dollars +1 | | 2021 | ≈ $4.88 In 2013 Dollars | | 2022 | ≈ $5.31 In 2013 Dollars | | 2023 | ≈ $5.43 In 2013 Dollars +1 | | 2024 | ≈ $5.71 In 2013 Dollars | | 2025* | ≈ $6.32 (as of September 2025) FRED +1 |

* 2025 value is from the most recent monthly data (not full-year average).
📈 What the trend shows[edit | edit source]
  • From 2016 through about 2019, prices were fairly stable in the low-$4.10–$4.25 per pound range.
  • Starting 2020, the price began climbing: reaching ≈ $4.63 in 2020, ≈ $4.88 in 2021.
  • A more noticeable jump in 2022 — ≈ $5.31, followed by gradual increases in 2023–2024.
  • 2025 shows a sharp rise to ≈ $6.32, among the highest on record, mostly driven by broader livestock, feed-cost, and supply pressures.
🔎 Context / Notes[edit | edit source]
  • This is national average retail price for “100% beef ground beef (per lb)” as tracked by BLS / FRED. FRED[9]
  • The data reflect “unspecified quality” ground beef (not necessarily lean/extra-lean). Lean/extra-lean ground-beef tracks higher (e.g., 2025 value ≈ $8.18/lb for lean/extra-lean). FRED[10]
  • As with any average, price in your region (e.g. around Leesburg, VA) may vary depending on store, beef cut quality, promotions, and packaging.

If you like — I can also adjust these ground-beef prices for inflation (to 2025-dollars) so you see whether the “real cost” has increased or mostly tracked inflation.

References[edit | edit source]

  1. "Beef and chicken price trend for 10 years". ChatGPT. Retrieved 2025-12-05.
  2. "FRED". fred.stlouisfed.org. Retrieved 2025-12-05.
  3. "FRED". fred.stlouisfed.org. Retrieved 2025-12-05.
  4. "In 2013 Dollars". In 2013 Dollars. Retrieved 2025-12-05.
  5. "In 2013 Dollars". In 2013 Dollars. Retrieved 2025-12-05.
  6. "In 2013 Dollars". In 2013 Dollars. Retrieved 2025-12-05.
  7. "In 2013 Dollars". In 2013 Dollars. Retrieved 2025-12-05.
  8. "FRED". fred.stlouisfed.org. Retrieved 2025-12-05.
  9. "FRED". fred.stlouisfed.org. Retrieved 2025-12-05.
  10. "FRED". fred.stlouisfed.org. Retrieved 2025-12-05.