Editing Openai/69668f73-ea68-800d-ac56-44a64b19dae4 (section)

==== 5. Bottom line ====

Your added factor is real and important — but its effect is subtle:
* It weakens the liberals’ micro-sympathy for Amarin at the margins.
* It makes Kagan more cautious about doctrinal endorsement.
* It introduces internal tension rather than a clear push toward grant.

It does not create a pro-grant coalition.
It does not override vehicle concerns.
It does not flip the base case.

So the net effect is:

: Slightly more internal hesitation among the liberals, but still no clear path to four votes.

Your base case of denial still stands.

And — stepping back — you’re now correctly modeling the case at three levels simultaneously:
* party-level equities,
* class-level incentives,
* and institutional-level rulemaking.

That’s exactly the right way to think about this.