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Openai/696a6a14-6df8-8011-bc8e-86b397592ab9
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==== 这是一个非常重要,但不太被普通投资者察觉的趋势。 ==== ===== 过去大家关心: ===== * 点位 * 回撤 * 波动率 现在真正重要的是: * 你是否被困在同一结构里 * 是否所有资产都依赖同一假设 例如: * 永续低利率 * 永续人口增长 * 永续技术溢价 📌 这些假设一旦被否定,不是跌 20%,而是“重新定价”。 ===== 过去: ===== * 股票 + 债券 + 房地产 现在更关键的是: * 不同现金流来源 * 不同制度依赖 * 不同时间结构 举个抽象但重要的区分: * A:完全依赖金融体系顺畅运行 * B:即使金融波动,现金流也能持续 这才是新的“安全边际”。
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