Editing Openai/6924d898-a68c-8009-beac-944d19ca0daf (section)

==== Given: ====
* Fights 1–50: Naruto always wins (P = 1.0).
* Fights 50–100: Naruto’s probability falls from 1.0 → 0.2.

Then:

: 
* Up through Fight 80, Naruto is still favored (>50% win chance).
* Around Fight 81, it’s roughly even.
* Beyond that, Luffy becomes more likely, approaching his max of 80% by Fight 100.

If you want, next we can:
* Adjust this from linear to a more “S-shaped” / logistic curve and see how much that 81 shifts (probably only a couple fights), or
* Start walking specific fight numbers (like Fight 60, 70, 75) and narratively describe what those setups look like that make Naruto still favored but less and less so.