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Openai/691df491-0d78-8005-ad11-12760f0fa16d
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=== Assistant: IV Implied Volatility at 113.36% is extremely elevated. === IV (Implied Volatility) at 113.36% is extremely elevated. Here's what this means for your trading decisions right now: ===== - High Premiums: Options (both calls and puts) are very expensive. This benefits option sellers more than buyers—unless the buyer is catching a massive move quickly. ===== * Market Expectation: The market is pricing in a huge move for NVDA—likely $30–$40+ in either direction. That range is being baked into all option prices. * Risk for Option Buyers: Premium decay (IV crush) is very likely immediately after earnings. Even if direction is correct, you could still lose money if the move is smaller than what’s priced in. ===== #### ===== * Only buy if you're confident in a big move. * Avoid ATM contracts – they’re overpriced. Go slightly OTM for leverage but use less capital. * Better to wait until 10–20 min after the report to catch confirmed momentum. ====== - Let the IV collapse after earnings, then enter directional trades with lower premium. ====== * Watch for IV drop to under 70% after the report. ====== - This is prime time for iron condors, straddles, or strangles—IV crush will be huge. ====== * Must be confident NVDA won't move outside a $40–50 range. ===== - Volatility is peaking, likely won’t go much higher. ===== * Volume is rising, but most of it is institutional hedging, not retail. * Be patient: best entries are often post-earnings reversal plays once the dust settles. Let me know if you want a breakdown of which call/put strikes are safest to buy after earnings—based on where price settles and the new IV.
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