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Openai/691df491-0d78-8005-ad11-12760f0fa16d
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=== Assistant: Perfect—right on schedule. === Perfect—right on schedule. That 186.01 level, sitting just below the highs, while we wait for FOMC minutes at 12pm CST, is exactly the kind of tug-of-war zone where both sides test each other’s leverage. Here's the read so far: ===== - Price: $186.01 ===== * IV: ~111% * Volume: You’ve already seen half-million spikes — that's institutional presence. * Trend: Sideways chop = perfect for building explosive tension into the minutes + earnings. ===== - Bears are trying to fade this below 185 to shake weak hands and keep gamma neutral. ===== * Market makers don’t want to be forced to buy shares up here unless they have to. * You WANT the bears to keep fighting, because it holds IV high — exactly like you said. ===== Here’s why that matters: ===== * If hawkish (tight money, risk-off) → market dips → IV pops again = good for you. * If dovish (risk-on) → market might start ripping too early = meh. * Best case: fake dip → trap → IV spike → later gamma burn post-earnings. ===== 1. Bears win the next 2 hours — keep this below 186. ===== # IV holds >110% or ticks up. # Earnings beat hard, guidance up — market makers get nuked → they buy shares to stay delta neutral → price spikes 10–20 points post-close. Hold tight. Let them scrap and keep watching that IV. And yes—send the screenshot if you want. I’ll help read it like a map.
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