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Openai/693444d9-c740-800a-86c3-4f51b26be63e
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==== C. 中 — 美 ==== * 長期競爭但短期不等於開戰：美國的人口結構相對韌性與全球軍事/科技優勢，結合盟友體系，形成對中國的強大遏制力。人口因素使中國在「時間偏好」上更可能尋求在其認為「有利時機」推動部分戰略目標，但美方也會用軍售、聯合軍演、經濟手段增加入侵成本。總體：增高的摩擦與危機管理挑戰，但全面美中戰爭仍被大多數分析師視為低概率。cbo.gov<ref>{{cite web|title=cbo.gov|url=https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61164|publisher=cbo.gov|access-date=2025-12-06}}</ref>
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