Editing Openai/69256b37-1cac-8004-bb0d-12fcbb764b89 (section)

===== Compressed summary in Bridge360 terms =====
* Short term (’25–’35): - Strongman consolidation dominates; democratic perturbations are heavily damped. - Self-correction odds: ~10–20%.
* Medium term (’35–’55): - Succession window + accumulated stress + visible success of EU/East Asian democracies create real pressure for a less brittle template. - Self-correction odds: ~30–45%.
* Long term (’55–2100): - A rigid high-autocracy Politburo has low survival odds without reconfiguration; external democratic models are persistent attractors for any elite looking for workable templates. - Self-correction (soft + crisis-driven) odds: ~40–60%, but with high uncertainty about how violent the correction is.

If you want, I can turn this into a one-page “China Governance Trajectory” box for Scientific Foundation of Hope, with separate rows for: Autocracy Index, F, ε-band position, and “democratic perturbation strength” across the three horizons.